Engineering Professor (EngProf6)
Hybrid Timing
Model of Stocks and Indices
The following tabulation shows the results based on closing prices that the model generated for Oil Services Holders (OIH) from the start of the year.
The Results for the Year 2006 From Version 4.0 (without the filter) of the
Model for OIH
|
Date |
Action |
Closing Price |
Profit/Loss |
|
Dec 28 06 |
BUY |
130.23 |
+ 23.44 |
|
Jan 24 06 |
SELL |
153.67 |
+ 20.12 |
|
Feb 15 06 |
BUY |
133.55 |
+ 3.46 |
|
March 6 06 |
SELL |
137.01 |
- 0.26 |
|
March 13 06 |
BUY |
137.27 |
+ 5.49 |
|
March 16 06 |
SELL |
142.76 |
+ 1.78 |
|
March 23 06 |
BUY |
140.98 |
+ 9.14 |
|
April 4 06 |
SELL |
150.12 |
- 1.20 |
|
April 13 06 |
BUY |
151.32 |
+ 11.26 |
|
April 21 06 |
SELL |
162.58 |
+ 7.55 |
|
April 27 06 |
BUY |
155.03 |
+ 11.27 |
|
May 9 06 |
SELL |
166.30 |
+ 21.28 |
|
May 22 06 |
BUY |
145.02 |
+ 4.34 |
|
June 6 06 |
SELL |
149.36 |
+ 7.31 |
|
June 26 06 |
BUY |
142.05 |
+ 6.40 |
|
July 6 06 |
SELL |
148.45 |
+ 14.22 |
|
July 24 06 |
BUY |
134.23 |
+ 6.36 |
|
August 4 06 |
SELL |
140.59 |
+ 3.09 |
|
August 29 06 |
BUY |
137.50 |
- 2.00 |
|
Sept 6 06 |
SELL |
135.50 |
+ 10.30 |
|
Sept 15 06 |
BUY |
125.20 |
+ 2.90 |
|
Sept 28 06 |
SELL |
128.10 |
+ 5.35 |
|
Oct 9 06 |
BUY |
122.75 |
- 0.10 |
|
Oct 11 06 |
SELL |
122.65 |
- 3.15 |
|
Oct 12 06 |
BUY |
125.80 |
+ 4.30 |
|
Oct 17 06 |
SELL |
130.10 |
+ 0.10 |
|
Oct 20 06 |
BUY |
130.00 |
+ 8.14 |
|
October 26 06 |
SELL |
138.14 |
+ 0.23 |
|
Nov 6 06 |
BUY |
137.91 |
+ 1.95 |
|
Nov 9 06 |
SELL |
139.86 |
+ 2.36 |
|
Nov 10 06 |
BUY |
137.50 |
+ 9.48 |
|
Dec 6 06 |
SELL
|
146.98 |
+ 0.91 |
|
Dec 11 06 |
BUY
|
146.07 |
In progress
|
|
|
|
|
|
The net for the
above moves is + $195.82 in a period of 11
months. There were 32 moves of which 27 were profitable.
Model 2.0 was fully implemented at the close of Friday, September 9,
2006.
I am now implementing Model 3.0. The above data was generated with version
3.0. This change took effect on Sept. 1706.
On Oct 1006 I started implementing version 4.0 of the model.
Questions, Comments, Suggestions or whatever else you may fancy
are welcome. I
can be reached at:
Please Note This Disclaimer: The above results are generated from a mathematical model. It provides some insight into what may be expected in the short term (2 to 4 week cycles). While reliability is of highest importance, life is such that the model is not always correct. Neither is past performance necessarily indicative of future performance. Stocks, markets, and options can change greatly in value in short time spans because of unpredictable events. The model cannot foresee such events. When they happen, the models performance will be poor and in some cases - wrong. The user is advised to be cautious and to try to couple the results for individual stocks to those for the market averages.