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Engineering Professor (EngProf6)

        Hybrid Timing Model of Stocks and Indices

 

The following tabulation shows the results based on closing prices that the model generated for Oil Services Holders (OIH) from the start of the year. 

 

 

                The Results for the Year 2006 From Version 4.0 (without the filter) of the

                                      Model for OIH

 

Date

Action

Closing Price

Profit/Loss

Dec 28 ‘06

BUY

130.23

+ 23.44

Jan 24 ‘06

SELL

153.67

+ 20.12

Feb 15 ’06

BUY

133.55

+ 3.46

March 6 ‘06

SELL

137.01

- 0.26

March 13 ‘06

BUY

137.27

+ 5.49

March 16 ‘06

SELL

142.76

+ 1.78

March 23 ‘06

BUY

140.98

+ 9.14

April 4 ‘06

SELL

150.12

- 1.20

April 13 ‘06

BUY

151.32

+ 11.26

April 21 ‘06

SELL

162.58

+ 7.55

April 27 ‘06

BUY

155.03

+ 11.27

May 9 ‘06

SELL

166.30

+ 21.28

May 22 ‘06

BUY

145.02

+ 4.34

June 6 ‘06

SELL

149.36

+ 7.31

June 26 ‘06

BUY

142.05

+ 6.40

July 6 ‘06

SELL

148.45

+ 14.22

July 24 ‘06

BUY

134.23

+ 6.36

August 4 ‘06

SELL

140.59

+ 3.09

August 29 ‘06

BUY

137.50

- 2.00

Sept 6 ‘06

SELL

135.50

+ 10.30

Sept 15 ‘06

BUY

125.20

+ 2.90

Sept 28 ‘06

SELL

128.10

+ 5.35

Oct 9 ‘06

BUY

122.75

- 0.10

Oct 11 ‘06

SELL

122.65

- 3.15

Oct 12 ‘06

BUY

125.80

+ 4.30

Oct 17 ‘06

SELL

130.10

+ 0.10

Oct 20 ‘06

BUY

130.00

+ 8.14

October 26 ‘06

SELL

138.14

+ 0.23

Nov 6 ‘06

BUY

137.91

+ 1.95

Nov 9 ‘06

SELL

139.86

+ 2.36

Nov 10 ‘06

BUY

137.50

+ 9.48

Dec 6 ‘06

SELL

146.98

+ 0.91

Dec 11 ‘06

BUY

146.07

In progress

 

 

 

 

 

The net for the above moves is + $195.82 in a period of 11 months. There were 32 moves of which 27 were profitable.

 

Model 2.0 was fully implemented at the close of Friday, September 9, 2006.

I am now implementing Model 3.0. The above data was generated with version 3.0. This change took effect on Sept. 17’06.

 

On Oct 10’06 I started implementing version 4.0 of the model.

 

Questions, Comments, Suggestions or whatever else you may fancy 

are welcome. I can be reached at:

engprof6@hotmail.com

 

Please Note This Disclaimer:  The above results are generated from a mathematical model. It provides some insight into what may be expected in the short term (2 to 4 week cycles).  While reliability is of highest importance, life is such that the model is not always correct. Neither is past performance necessarily indicative of future performance. Stocks, markets, and options can change greatly in value in short time spans because of unpredictable events. The model cannot foresee such events. When they happen, the model’s performance will be poor and in some cases - wrong. The user is advised to be cautious and to try to couple the results for individual stocks to those for the market averages.