Engineering Professor (EngProf6)
Hybrid Timing
Model of Stocks and Indices
The following tabulation shows the results based on closing prices that the model generated for Google from the start of the year.
The Results for the Year 2006 From Version 4.0 (without the filter) of the
Model for GOOG
Date |
Action |
Closing Price |
Profit/Loss |
Nov 18 06 |
BUY |
400.21 |
+ 71.42 |
Jan 11 06 |
SELL |
471.63 |
+ 44.13 |
Jan 23 06 |
BUY |
427.50 |
- 0.68 |
Jan 30 06 |
SELL |
426.82 |
+ 57.74 |
Feb 8 06 |
BUY |
369.08 |
- 4.28 |
March 106 |
SELL |
364.80 |
+ 24.58 |
March 22 06 |
BUY |
340.22 |
+ 67.77 |
April 5 06 |
SELL |
407.99 |
- 2.51 |
April 19 06 |
BUY |
410.50 |
+ 30.00 |
April 24 06 |
SELL |
440.50 |
+ 46.33 |
May 3 06 |
BUY |
394.17 |
+ 8.81 |
May 10 06 |
SELL |
402.98 |
+ 31.99 |
May 18 06 |
BUY |
370.99 |
+ 0.83 |
May 31 06 |
SELL |
371.82 |
- 10.80 |
June 1 06 |
BUY |
382.62 |
- 3.18 |
June 2 06 |
SELL |
379.44 |
+ 5.00 |
June 5 06 |
BUY |
374.44 |
+ 12.07 |
June 7 06 |
SELL |
386.51 |
- 18.35 |
June 23 06 |
BUY |
404.86 |
+ 18.33 |
July 6 06 |
SELL |
423.19 |
+ 37.69 |
July 26 06 |
BUY |
385.50 |
- 2.14 |
August 18 06 |
SELL |
383.36 |
+ 5.51 |
Sept 8 06 |
BUY |
377.85 |
+ 25.96 |
Sept 19 06 |
SELL |
403.81 |
- 0.23 |
Oct 3 06 |
BUY |
404.04 |
+ 23.26 |
Oct 13 06 |
SELL |
427.30 |
+ 5.55 |
Oct 16 06 |
BUY |
421.75 |
+ 53.45 |
Oct 27 06 |
SELL |
475.20 |
+ 1.65 |
Nov 10 06 |
BUY |
473.55 |
+ 11.10 |
Nov 29 06 |
SELL
|
484.65 |
- 0.16 |
Nov 30 06 |
BUY
|
484.81 |
- 4.01 |
Dec 1 06 |
SELL
|
480.8 |
- 4.05 |
Dec 4 06 |
BUY
|
484.85 |
+ 2.15 |
Dec 5 06 |
SELL
|
487.00 |
In progress
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The net for the
above moves is + $534.93 in a period of 11
months. There were 33 moves of which 22 were profitable.
Model 2.0 was fully implemented at the close of Friday, September 9,
2006.
Model 3.0 was implemented for GOOG on Sept. 1706. The above data was
generated with version 3.0.
On Oct 1006 I implemented version 4.0.
On Oct 2206 I discovered a small typo in an equation that generates
the tabulated data for AKAM, AAPL, GOOG and DIA. The above table has the
correction incorporated.
Questions, Comments, Suggestions or whatever else you may fancy
are welcome. I
can be reached at:
Please Note This Disclaimer: The above results are generated from a mathematical model. It provides some insight into what may be expected in the short term (2 to 4 week cycles). While reliability is of highest importance, life is such that the model is not always correct. Neither is past performance necessarily indicative of future performance. Stocks, markets, and options can change greatly in value in short time spans because of unpredictable events. The model cannot foresee such events. When they happen, the models performance will be poor and in some cases - wrong. The user is advised to be cautious and to try to couple the results for individual stocks to those for the market averages.