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Engineering Professor (EngProf6)

        Hybrid Timing Model of Stocks and Indices

 

The following tabulation shows the results based on closing prices that the model generated for Google from the start of the year. 

 

 

                The Results for the Year 2006 From Version 4.0 (without the filter) of the

                                      Model for GOOG

 

Date

Action

Closing Price

Profit/Loss

Nov 18 ‘06

BUY

400.21

+ 71.42

Jan 11 ‘06

SELL

471.63

+ 44.13

Jan 23 ’06

BUY

427.50

- 0.68

Jan 30 ‘06

SELL

426.82

+ 57.74

Feb 8 ‘06

BUY

369.08

- 4.28

March 1‘06

SELL

364.80

+ 24.58

March 22 ‘06

BUY

340.22

+ 67.77

April 5 ‘06

SELL

407.99

- 2.51

April 19 ‘06

BUY

410.50

+ 30.00

April 24 ‘06

SELL

440.50

+ 46.33

May 3 ‘06

BUY

394.17

+ 8.81

May 10 ‘06

SELL

402.98

+ 31.99

May 18 ‘06

BUY

370.99

+ 0.83

May 31 ‘06

SELL

371.82

- 10.80

June 1 ‘06

BUY

382.62

- 3.18

June 2 ‘06

SELL

379.44

+ 5.00

June 5 ‘06

BUY

374.44

+ 12.07

June 7 ‘06

SELL

386.51

- 18.35

June 23 ‘06

BUY

404.86

+ 18.33

July 6 ‘06

SELL

423.19

+ 37.69

July 26 ‘06

BUY

385.50

- 2.14

August 18 ‘06

SELL

383.36

+ 5.51

Sept 8 ‘06

BUY

377.85

+ 25.96

Sept 19 ‘06

SELL

403.81

- 0.23

Oct 3 ‘06

BUY

404.04

+ 23.26

Oct 13 ‘06

SELL

427.30

+ 5.55

Oct 16 ‘06

BUY

421.75

+ 53.45

Oct 27 ‘06

SELL

475.20

+ 1.65

Nov 10 ‘06

BUY

473.55

+ 11.10

Nov 29 ‘06

SELL

484.65

- 0.16

Nov 30 ‘06

BUY

484.81

- 4.01

Dec 1 ‘06

SELL

480.8

- 4.05

Dec 4 ‘06

BUY

484.85

+ 2.15

Dec 5 ‘06

SELL

487.00

In progress

 

 

 

 

 

The net for the above moves is + $534.93 in a period of 11 months. There were 33 moves of which 22 were profitable.

 

Model 2.0 was fully implemented at the close of Friday, September 9, 2006.

 

Model 3.0 was implemented for GOOG on Sept. 17’06. The above data was generated with version 3.0.

 

On Oct 10’06 I implemented version 4.0.

 

On Oct 22’06 I discovered a ‘small’ typo in an equation that generates the tabulated data for AKAM, AAPL, GOOG and DIA. The above table has the correction incorporated.

 

Questions, Comments, Suggestions or whatever else you may fancy 

are welcome. I can be reached at:

engprof6@hotmail.com

 

Please Note This Disclaimer:  The above results are generated from a mathematical model. It provides some insight into what may be expected in the short term (2 to 4 week cycles).  While reliability is of highest importance, life is such that the model is not always correct. Neither is past performance necessarily indicative of future performance. Stocks, markets, and options can change greatly in value in short time spans because of unpredictable events. The model cannot foresee such events. When they happen, the model’s performance will be poor and in some cases - wrong. The user is advised to be cautious and to try to couple the results for individual stocks to those for the market averages.